Bitcoin holds 200-Week MA near $59905.98 while 4h chart shows EMA50 resistance at $61475.91 and neutral RSI 42.56 amid cycle analysis.

According to @RhythmicAnalyst, Bitcoin’s one-month chart has reached a linear-scale resistance line while the November monthly closing low stands as the critical support level to monitor, source: @RhythmicAnalyst on X, Dec 19, 2025. The current support structure mirrors the previous cycle, meaning a breakdown should not be assumed until price actually violates that support, source: @RhythmicAnalyst on X, Dec 19, 2025. Declaring the cycle top is premature under this framework, with the November closing low acting as the key invalidation level for bulls on the monthly timeframe, source: @RhythmicAnalyst on X, Dec 19, 2025.

According to @CryptoMichNL, the current phase signifies the end of the bear market for altcoins rather than the end of the broader bull market, based on a business-cycle framework where altcoin lows form during the least favorable macro periods, with prior cycle lows cited in Q2 2012, Q1–Q2 2016, and Q1 2020, source: @CryptoMichNL. According to @CryptoMichNL, spot Bitcoin ETF flows have altered market structure by creating a higher BTC floor above the previous all-time high—often around $100k—suggesting Bitcoin’s main upside leg is still ahead and that the next bull market could be larger and longer than the historical four-year cycle, source: @CryptoMichNL.

According to @CryptoMichNL, BTC’s current regime is framed as a bull-versus-bear inflection, with positive on-chain signals suggesting the cycle may persist, source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1991178403089625168. He raises a discussion level around a potential 90,000 BTC bottom as part of scenario planning for traders monitoring cycle sustainability, source: https://twitter.com/CryptoMichNL/status/1991178403089625168. He directs viewers to a detailed video for the underlying metrics and context, source: https://youtu.be/f33839VLhTA.